[SMM exclusive] the stainless steel industry PMI composite index rose almost unchanged in July from the previous month.

Published: Aug 2, 2019 09:45

SMM, Aug. 2 / PRNewswire-Asianet /-

The final value of PMI composite index of stainless steel industry in July was 48.90%, which was lower than the line of prosperity and decline, 4.62% higher than that in June and 2.95% higher than expected. The highest absolute value in July is still the purchase price index, which is 95.62%, an increase of 6.33% from 89.29% in June, and a huge gap from the expected 25.96%. The main reason is that nickel prices rose unexpectedly in July with the support of funds, and the increase of ferronickel, which is more commonly used in stainless steel plants, is relatively smaller than that of pure nickel. Matching the price increase of stainless steel can make the steel mill profit performance is OK, but whether can keep the high price in August will face the bigger challenge. The production index of 48.41% was 8.37% higher than that of the previous month, which was still lower than the line of prosperity and decline. The output of 300 series of individual manufacturers decreased during the month, and the purchasing volume index of 51.26% increased by 0.45% compared with the previous month, which was related to the increase of nickel-iron extracurricular production by individual manufacturers. The new order index is 47.60% up 8.37% from the previous month. After the passive rise in nickel prices for stainless steel, steel mills are still under great pressure to ship, but stocks have not been further accumulated. Stainless steel is currently at the tipping point of sawing from storage to storage.

The initial value of PMI composite index of stainless steel industry in August was 49.19%, which was lower than the line of prosperity and decline, and increased by 0.78% compared with July. Most operators believe that August will still be a month when stainless steel will face greater shipping pressure. In the traditional off-season, the downstream of stainless steel will be purchased on demand, but the supply of goods on the market is still abundant, and the market is difficult to say prosperity. However, with the approach of the traditional autumn peak season, there are still some hopes for the later downstream consumption. In addition, although the impact of high-priced raw materials purchased by stainless steel plants on costs will gradually show in July, if some of the increases in the previous period can be maintained, stainless steel mills still have a small profit margin. At present, it seems that steel mills have not taken the initiative to significantly reduce production. The initial production index for August was 49.10%. In terms of the purchase price index, the initial value in August is 54.66%. Market participants have some differences under the price point at the end of the month. Large stainless steel plants have strong demand for ferronickel and are basically more active in purchasing. And the orders for nickel iron plants in August have basically been finalized in early July, and the expected prices are still supported, but at the same time, some operators expect this wave of bulls to come to an end, if their funds gradually withdraw. Nickel prices are likely to fall back from their highs in August.

(for detailed data, please consult SMM, if you think it is valuable, please move your finger to help forward it! )

"Application for trial of PMI composite index report for downstream industries

Welcome to the big data-Ni team of Shanghai Color Network:

Shanghai Color Network big data-Ni Liu Yuqiao

Tel: + 86 21 5166 6804

Shanghai Color Network big data-Ni Gao Yin

Tel: + 86 21 5166 6865

Shanghai Color Network big data-Ni Duan Chunjing

Tel: + 86 21 5166 6896

Shanghai Color Network big data-Ni Wang Tong

Tel: + 86 21 5166 6855

Shanghai Color Network big data-Ni Wu Ruoyao

Tel: + 86 21 5159 5864

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
18 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
Read More
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
High-Grade NPI Smelter Profits Squeezed as Ore Prices Rise and Sales Prices Dip
[SMM Nickel Flash] Based on nickel ore prices from 25 days ago, smelter profits for high-grade NPI remained high this week. However, from the current raw material side, ore prices from both the Philippines and Indonesia increased, while auxiliary material prices saw a slight pullback, leading to an increase in the cash cost of producing high-grade NPI from spot ore. At the same time, high-grade NPI prices experienced some pullback, making it difficult for smelter profits to see sustained improvement.
18 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
18 hours ago
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
Read More
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
High-Grade NPI Prices Fall, Expected to Stabilize as Chinese New Year Approaches
[SMM Nickel Flash] This week, due to a sharp decline in futures triggering arbitrage selling, high-grade NPI prices fell significantly. However, after the selling activity subsided, upstream quotations and the market center gradually returned to normal levels, supported by cost factors. Looking ahead, as the Chinese New Year holiday approaches, market activity is expected to remain subdued, and high-grade NPI prices are projected to hover at highs with limited fluctuations.
18 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
18 hours ago
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Read More
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
Nickel Prices Drop: SMM 10-12% High-Grade NPI Down 17.2 Yuan, Indonesia NPI FOB Index Falls 2.06 $/mtu
[SMM Nickel Flash] The SMM average price of 10-12% high-grade NPI fell 17.2 yuan/mtu WoW to 1,035.8 yuan/mtu (ex-factory, tax included), while the Indonesia NPI FOB index average price dropped 2.06 $/mtu WoW to 131.2 $/mtu. At the beginning of the week, futures hit limit-down, and nickel prices fell sharply WoW, driving the emergence of arbitrage supplies sold at low prices, leading to a significant decline in high-grade NPI prices.
18 hours ago